Greg Corombos of Radio America and Jim Geraghty of National Review are encouraged that a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows a huge majority of Americans believe midterm voters sent President Obama a clear message and most want the next president to go in a different direction. And they discuss the crazy North Korean hacking of SONY that is suddenly becoming far more serious.
Cuccinelli Rips Attacks on Cruz, Lee as Establishment ‘Canard’
Many Republicans are furious at Senators Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Mike Lee (R-Utah) for demanding a vote related to the president’s unilateral action on immigration and allegedly aiding lame duck Senate Democrats with their agenda, but Senate Conservatives Fund President Ken Cuccinelli calls such criticism a “canard” and lauds the senators for standing up for the Constitution.
Cuccinelli served as Virginia attorney general from 2010-2014 and was defeated for governor in 2013. Senate Conservatives Fund is loathed by most mainstream Republicans, since the group has recruited and endorsed conservative challengers to GOP incumbents in recent cycles.
On Friday, the Senate was going through a series of motions to set up debate on the so-called “cromnibus” spending bill that funds most areas of government through September 2015 but forces a debate over money for Homeland Security in February. Sen. Lee unexpectedly objected, forcing senators back to Washington for weekend debate and a setting up a vote on the constitutionality of Obama’s immigration policy sponsored by Sen. Cruz.
In response, Reid not only called the Senate into a rare weekend session, but also adjusted the rest of the schedule for the lame duck session to focus on confirming controversial Obama nominees. Many Republicans are livid at Lee and Cruz for demanding a vote they say the GOP cannot win in a Democratic Senate and for giving Reid motivation to approve nominees who would not have been confirmed.
“That’s a canard and the people making it know it,” said Cuccinelli. “The notion that one shouldn’t fight to protect the Constitution in the acts of Congress is pretty appalling and God forbid we make them do it on a Saturday and stay late. That was really childish and sort of disgusting to watch.”
However, the actions taken by many in the GOP last weekend was far worse than the rhetoric aimed at their conservative colleagues.
“What was even more disgusting is the 20 Republicans who didn’t vote with Ted Cruz to declare the president’s executive amnesty unconstitutional, even though in the last six weeks they’ve all said it is. Heritage Action has done a good job of compiling their statements to that effect and yet they voted the other way, probably because they were upset about being dragged in on a Saturday,” said Cuccinelli.
After a very dramatic effort to pass the “cromnibus” and avoid a government shutdown in the House two days earlier, Senate leaders in both parties were eager to avoid another funding cliffhanger. Cuccinelli sees that as another GOP failure and says his group will remember this vote when it evaluates Senate races in the future.
“For those of us who care about the Constitution, that vote looms large. For people who just cared about whether the bill passed or not, it was a speed bump on the way,” said Cuccinelli.
Cuccinelli is also fighting back against the assertion that the vote on the Cruz point of order was meaningless because it couldn’t pass. He says if Republicans had put principle over expediency, the vote could have put Democrats in a very awkward political position.
“The Republicans didn’t band together to force the Democrats to actually vote on the underlying issue and that is the funding of the president’s executive amnesty. A lot of people said there’s no way Republicans could win that. I don’t believe that. If Democrats actually had to go on the board on that issue exclusively, a lot of Democrats would have been in very difficult political territory,” said Cuccinelli.
More Obama nominees have been confirmed over the past few days, including Dr. Vivek Murthy, who was confirmed as Surgeon General despite his activism on gun control issues. However, Cuccinelli rejects the accusation that Cruz and Lee are responsible for Murthy and other questionable nominees getting through.
“(Majority Leader Harry) Reid had every intention of pushing the nominees that he moved forward because he had to fill the clock this week. Literally right now, at this moment while you and I are talking, was the original plan for Reid. That wasn’t going anywhere and that didn’t change. He just changed where on the schedule he did that,” said Cuccinelli.
The actions by Cruz and Lee followed on the heels of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) trying to rally opposition to the “cromnibus” because of changes to the Dodd-Frank laws. Cuccinelli says Warren received the same response from her leadership and Cruz and Lee did from theirs because establishment instincts run deep in both parties.
“There is, unfortunately, in this country, a cabal of the leadership of both parties that doesn’t really care about the little guy, doesn’t care about the middle class,” said Cuccinelli.
“You know it was interesting to watch Elizabeth Warren fight over a banking provision, where the taxpayers are now on the hook for derivative trades with big banks. Nobody who cares about individual taxpayers and individual Americans should actually disagree with Elizabeth Warren. She was right. But it’s more of the corporatist mentality in the establishment leadership of both parties that brushed aside concerns like that,” he said.
In the four years since Republicans won control of the House of Representatives but Democrats maintained a majority in the Senate, GOP leaders repeatedly stated there was only so much the party could do with a Democrat in the White House and Reid running the Senate. However, they promised big changes if Republicans were to control the Senate. That will happen come January and Cuccinelli says Senate Conservatives Fund will be looking for a very early sign that leadership plans to pursue conservative policies.
“They’re at least going to have to deliver to the president a complete repeal of Obamacare, which they all campaigned on, and watch what the president does. The notion that we’re going to do the president’s bidding for him (and) we’re not going to send him bills he doesn’t like because he might veto them is ludicrous. It literally abandons one’s own voice in the process. If that’s the case, what did we vote for on November 4?” said Cuccinelli.
While legislative business will happen under GOP control across Capitol Hill next year, the work in Washington will soon be overshadowed by the 2016 presidential race. Candidates are already jockeying for position even though no one has formally entered the race. Cuccinelli expects a spirited GOP primary, but urges Republican voters to choose a conservative nominee if they want to be celebrating come November 2016.
“In my lifetime, and I was born after Barry Goldwater, 100 percent of Republican nominees for president who ran as conservatives won. One hundred percent. And a hundred percent of Republican nominees for president who ran as not conservatives lost, a hundred percent. The most electable candidate is a movement conservative,” said Cuccinelli.
Three Martini Lunch 12/16/14
Greg Corombos of Radio America and Jim Geraghty of National Review discuss the pros and cons of a likely Jeb Bush presidential bid. They also condemn the Taliban for murdering well over 100 schoolchildren in Pakistan. And they react to a Harvard Law student explaining why the emotional strain of the recent grand jury verdicts in police cases justifies a delay in taking semester exams.
‘The Flag Is the Message’
Terrorism expert Dr. Walid Phares says the terrorism that unfolded in an Australian cafe is indicative of Islamic terrorist groups focusing on much smaller targets rather than massive events like 9/11 and he says politically correct commentary during and after the crisis only makes the threat worse.
Phares is a longtime professor of Middle East studies and is currently an adviser to the U.S. Congress on the Middle East and terrorism. His latest book is entitled, “The Lost Spring.”
Over 17 hours, a terrorist eventually identified as Mon Haron Monis held numerous people hostage at a Sydney, Australia, cafe and chocolate shop. After 17 hours, police stormed the cafe. Monis was killed but is believed to have killed two hostages before police stopped him. Phares says terrorist groups like Al Qaeda and the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) are encouraging followers to carry out simple plots like this as opposed to grand schemes to kill hundreds of people.
“What we see now is the infamous doctrine, which has been pushed by Al Qaeda and applied by ISIS, is death by a million cuts,” sais Phares. “You don’t have to have large operations involving large cells or multiple individuals. What you have to have is one jihadist. That person doesn’t need to be connected to the organization. All that is needed is to inspire that person, to have indoctrinated that person or self-indoctrinated.”
According to Phares, both Al Qaeda and ISIS have issued statements in the past several months encouraging so-called lone wolf attacks against the United States and our western allies in an effort to end all western military action in Iraq and Syria. He says both groups have standing orders to carry out terrorism like the hostage crisis in Sydney.
The standoff took on a new dimension when Monis covered much of the front window with a black flag with Arabic writing. Media in Australia, the U.S. and beyond immediately urged viewers not to jump to conclusions about the motivation behind the attack. Phares says the mystery over motive was erased as soon as the flag went up.
“Where’s the message? The flag is the message. Only the jihadists will use the flag in a violent action, not the Boy Scouts,” said Phares.
“They panicked when they saw the flag and said this was ISIS. In fact, this is a jihadi flag. It would apply to Al Qaeda. It would apply to Ansar al-Sharia. It would apply to ISIS. In this case, as I have studied well, it would even apply to the other side of the Sunni jihadists to the Shia jihadists, such as Hezbollah,” said Phares.
The flag’s universal symbol of jihad is especially significant, given that Monis has dabbled on both sides of Islam’s most contentious divide.
“Yes he was born and raised as a Shia Iranian. He came to Australia and then he shifted. He became a Salafist according to his own website. So he’s a very strange bird, who has mutated from one side to the other side of jihadism. The result is the same. He believes in the general action against the West, against Australia and against, of course, what he considers the enemy of the caliphate or the enemies of the jihadists,” said Phares.
Just as infuriating to Phares as the media’s head-scratching over the motive behind the attacks is the instant hyperbole over the need to stop any anti-Muslim backlash.
“The problem with uninformed, naive or misled reactions is that they create the backlash before it’s created. They start to talk about Islamophobia and backlash against communities before this even happens,” said Phares, who says the strongest backlash against radical Muslims is often from their own neighbors in Middle Eastern countries.
In the hours since the hostage crisis began, activists on all sides have discussed their ideas for preventing future events like this. On the topic of guns, gun rights groups say more individual rights would put people in a better position to stop a lone gunman before they can do any serious damage. Gun control groups assert that more restrictions would stop people like Monis, who had a lengthy criminal record, from obtaining a weapon. Still others fear thick security could become commonplace at public gathering places if these sorts of attacks increase in frequency.
Phares says none of those are the first line of defense.
“Education, education, education. Before looking at guns, before looking at law enforcement, before looking at anything else, we need to educate our public. We need the President of the United States to deliver a speech on what this ideology is. We need Congress to legislate,” said Phares.
“Once that is done, then each has homework to do. Law enforcement are focusing on one issue. Civil society is part of it, and of course we’re going to have NGOs of moderate Muslims who will go against the jihadists. It’s a whole construct. Unfortunately, the leadership, the president and the executive branch, are not on the same page of this strategy as of now,” he said.
Three Martini Lunch 12/15/14
Greg Corombos of Radio America and Jim Geraghty of National Review are impressed with how the American people sifted through the CIA report on terrorist interrogations, noting their intense discomfort for some of the tactics used but deciding it did make us safer and the report itself makes us less safe. They also groan as Islamic terrorism rises up in Australia, though they are thankful the hostage crisis is over. And they rip Greenpeace for damaging the historic Nazca Lines in Peru in order to erect a sign urging people to save the environment.
‘This Was a Huge Surrender’
The House of Representatives avoided a government shutdown Thursday night, but Rep. Tom McClintock says it came at the cost of letting the outgoing Senate Democratic majority have control over government spending for nine months after they lose power and he says Republicans relinquished their strongest weapon for confronting President Obama’s immigration actions in the new Congress.
“This was a huge surrender of the prerogatives of the Congress to bring this administration under control, which is what the American people clearly voted for us to do when we saw a nine seat shift toward the Republicans in the U.S. Senate,” said McClintock.
On Thursday night, the Republican-controlled House of Representatives voted 219-206 to approve a $1.1 trillion spending package that funds most of the federal government until the end of September 2015. However, it only extends funding for the Department of Homeland Security until February. The combination of an omnibus bill and a continuing resolution was tagged as a “cromnibus” bill. Nearly seventy conservatives voted against the plan. Fifty votes from Democrats put supporters over the top after heavy lobbying from President Obama and the decision of House Democratic Whip Steny Hoyer (D-Maryland) to back it.
McClintock says the “cromnibus” strategy never made any sense to him. He and other conservatives preferred a short continuing resolution into next year so Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress could lead the way on spending.
“Instead of negotiating with the new Republican Senate that has has the imprimatur of approval of the American people, they decided they’d get a better deal, I don’t know why, by negotiating with Harry Reid, (outgoing Senate Appropriations Committee Chairwoman) Barbara Mikulski and the Democratic Senate that voters just thoroughly repudiated,” said McClintock, who says those rejected leaders have largely handcuffed Republicans for most of 2015.
“So now, the cold, dead hand of Harry Reid and the Democratic Senate will be steering the new Republican Congress’ spending priorities for the first nine months of the new Republican Congress,” he said.
According to McClintock, the rationale for the “cromnibus” strategy offered to him by GOP leaders was that they didn’t want “fiscal distractions” interfering with policy priorities like approving the Keystone XL Pipeline in January.
“First of all, these are not fiscal distractions. This is the entire spending plan of the United States government. There’s nothing more fundamental than that. Secondly, there’s no reason why you couldn’t take up issues like Keystone at the same time,” said McClintock.
Leadership has argued that passing all funding for the rest of the fiscal year except for the Department of Homeland Security will allow Republicans to fight tooth and nail against what they see as Obama’s unconstitutional amnesty afforded to some five million people in the country illegally. McClintock says that’s unlikely to work either.
“The problem is Homeland Security funds the entire border security programs such as it is. That’s a hostage we’re not going to shoot, so why would we want to choose a strategy that would require us to shoot a hostage that we’re not going to shoot,” he said, arguing that this approach only makes it harder to thwart Obama’s actions.
“It makes no sense. Had we maintained the choice over all of the budget we would have been in a much stronger bargaining position. I think this has greatly weakened out bargaining position going into that discussion in February,” said McClintock.
The congressman says the Republican approach should have been a simple continuing resolution lasting only a few weeks until the Republican majority takes hold in the Senate.
“The better way to go was simply to adopt a three or four-week continuing resolution to keep the government open, put all the appropriations questions into the new Senate that’s just been freshly approved by voters so that their priorities can be accurately reflected in the spending plan that will be locked in until October 1 of next year,” said McClintock.
Some of the greatest drama in the House played out during the vote for the rule allowing debate on the spending package. Normally just a formality, the vote dragged on as GOP leaders lobbied members to vote for the rule. The procedural hurdle was cleared after Rep. Kerry Bentivolio (R-Michigan) switched his vote and Rep. Marlin Stutzman (R-Indiana) finally cast his ballot with leadership.
However, Stutzman later claimed he supported the rule only after leadership vowed to pull the “cromnibus” and put forward a simple short-term continuing resolution. The congressman alleges leaders reneged on that promise once Obama supported the plan and leadership concluded it could get the votes for passage from Democrats.
McClintock says he knows nothing about that squabble, but he does admit to supporting the rule, noting his general approach is to support rules to protect the power of the majority to set the agenda. But Thursday’s vote is one he’d like to have back.
“In retrospect, I think the bill raised such important fiscal and constitutional issues that it shouldn’t have been brought to the floor in its current form. I’m not going to sugarcoat it. Every now and then I make a bad vote. That was a bad vote and I regret it,” said McClintock.
Several conservative members were seething over the tactics used by House Speaker John Boehner and his leadership team to get the bill passed and made it clear they’d prefer that he wasn’t speaker in the next Congress. McClintock is not happy with leadership but says making a change is easier said than done.
“The problem with replacing John Boehner as speaker is you have to have a replacement that is competent to take that role. The problem is the people who were competent to replace Boehner were not willing to do so and the people willing to replace Boehner were not competent to do so,” said McClintock.
The congressman noted that no one inside the House GOP Conference challenged Boehner for the post last month. McClintock believes any challenge to Boehner going forward should play out in the conference and not on the House floor during the vote for Speaker of the House next month.
Three Martini Lunch 12/12/14
Greg Corombos of Radio America and Jim Geraghty of National Review applaud retiring Oklahoma Sen. Tom Coburn for using his final floor speech to remind lawmakers their oath compels them to defend the Constitution and our liberties, not to bring home the bacon to their states. They also shake their heads as Republican House leaders alienate conservatives again on the massive cromnibus bill. And they react to an MSNBC reporter asking Rick Perry if he’s smart enough to be president.
‘They’ve Largely Succeeded in Driving Out Christians’
Open Doors USA President and CEO Dr. David Curry says Christians are on the verge of extinction in Iraq but also that the intense persecution started long before the rise of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS).
Open Doors USA is one of the leading international organizations assisting persecuted Christians around the world. It has a team actively involved inside Iraq, but Curry admits ISIS clearly has believers there running for their lives.
“I think they’ve largely succeeded in driving out Christians in many of these areas to the north of Baghdad,” he said.
While ISIS presents the most intense and most immediate threat to Christians in Iraq, Curry says Christians have been targeted ever since the Iraq War began in 2003.
“Christianity has been under attack for a long time in Iraq. This has been more than just what’s happened this summer. Over the last ten years, you’ve gone from what amounts to about a million Christians in Iraq to maybe a few thousand by some of our estimates,” said Curry, who says physical conditions for Iraqi Christians are very bleak.
“Our team is telling me on a daily basis that it’s just very uncertain for these folks. Many of them moved two and three times even before the Islamic State. With that new (ISIS) push since this summer, there’s a feeling that maybe there isn’t a place for Christians in Iraq. So that’s very discouraging to them,” said Curry.
Life for Christians throughout much of the Middle East carries dangers far beyond ISIS and much closer to home. Curry says Islamic culture poses a major threat to believers.
“Culturally there are some issues that these Muslim countries are facing. A lot of times when you have someone from the Muslim faith who has converted to Christianity, there’s pressure within the family. They can be ostracized. So you see not just violent outbursts like we’ve seen with Islamic State, but overall within the region there are more underground points of pressure on Christians or people who are seeking to convert their faith,” said Curry.
Over Thanksgiving weekend, Pope Francis visited Turkey and, along with the head of the Greek Orthodox Church, urged Muslim clerics and political leaders to promote religious tolerance and to protect religious minorities in their countries. Curry is thrilled to see the Pope speak out on the issue and believes is could very well do some good.
“I think he carries a lot of influence and I think he’s speaking for a lot of people that it is something that is important to healthy society, that we honor religious minorities. In this case, it’s Christians within a Muslim context, but in many countries around the world religious minorities are persecuted and I don’t think it makes for a good society. I know it’s not healthy,” said Curry.
Will a dialogue with Muslim leaders actually lead to better treatment of Christians in Muslim countries? Curry believes it can.
“I think we’re wrong if we think that everybody within the Muslim community is reflected in the Islamic State. This is a splinter group. There are Muslims who would be willing to talk about and I think would welcome protection of religious minorities within their country. Remember, in some countries like India, Muslims are persecuted for their faith,” said Curry.
Curry says there are two things Americans can do to assist the persecuted Christians in Iraq and elsewhere. The first is to pray for them.
“We encourage people to pray for the safety of these families and for these kids, that some security and stability comes to the region. We certainly are praying for that,” he said.
Donations are also welcome to pay for food, water and clothing for Christians on the run as winter sets in. Those interested can visit opendoorsusa.org.
Three Martini Lunch 12/11/14
Greg Corombos of Radio America and Jim Geraghty of National Review enjoy watching White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest flail about after being asked how the Obama administration can condone drone strikes that sometimes kill innocents while condemning enhanced interrogation techniques that killed no one. They also shake their heads as Elizabeth Warren whips up opposition to the omnibus spending bill while claiming Republicans behind the bill are trying to shut down the government. And they react to the President of Smith College apologizing for writing “all lives matter” as she enthusiastically supported protests over the Garner and Brown grand jury decisions – because protesters wanted her to say “black lives matter.”
Dems ‘Wish to Disarm the CIA’
Former CIA official Herb Meyer calls Tuesday’s report by Democrats on the Senate Intelligence Committee nothing more than “intellectual junk food” that could get agents killed and says he wonders what activities are actually permissible for the intelligence community in the eyes of Democrats.
In the wake of the report spearheaded by Senate Intelligence Committee Chairwoman Dianne Feinstein (D-California), supporters hailed it as an example of America admitting its faults and serving as an example of transparency to the world. Critics say it was a partisan exercise that could damage intelligence gathering operations and put the lives of American operatives in danger. Meyer says it probably both, but leaves little doubt which consequence is of greater importance.
“On the one hand, good. We’re Americans. We put things out. On the other hand, it’s crazy to put this out. It’s going to get people killed. There’s absolutely no point to doing this,” he said.
Meyer served as special assistant to Reagan administration CIA Director William Casey. He was also vice chairman of the CIA’s National Intelligence Council. Many experts credit Meyer as the first person to foresee the near-term collapse of the Soviet Union at that time. He contends the purpose of this report was to severely damage the intelligence community.
“They wished to disarm the CIA. That was their objective and they probably accomplished a good deal of it. That was their point. That’s what they wished to do before they lose power in the Senate,” said Meyer.
He says the fallout from this report will be hugely negative for intelligence professionals.
“It’s very destructive. Why should any CIA officer risk his or her life or his or her career to do something like this? It’s a disaster,” said Meyer, predicting negative effects among current personnel and to efforts to bring new people.
“What CIA official in his or right mind would do something that a few years from now can destroy their career? You’d have to be crazy,” he said. “Why would the kind of people who have the skill and talent and courage to defend our country, go to work for the CIA right now? Do you realize what this does for recruitment? It kills it.”
The damage to recruitment, he says, will never be fully known.
“These are the kind of damages that get done that you can’t measure statistically. You can’t prove something didn’t happen. But the kind of people who say, ‘You know, I’d like to join the CIA and defend the United States,’ they’re not going to do that anymore,” said Meyer
Tuesday’s report from Senate Democrats, and dubbed the “Torture Report” by most media outlets, chronicles the actions taken by CIA personnel and others in the use of enhanced interrogation techniques. Although much of the content had been released over the past several years, much attention is paid to tactics like keeping detainees in stress positions, depriving them of sleep, rectal feedings and three cases of waterboarding men suspected of withholding critical operational intelligence.
Meyer says the report succeeded in creating sensational headlines but the report as a whole is an embarrassment to those who drafted it.
“It’s intellectual junk food. It’s not very credible. It isn’t a good piece of writing. If anybody submitted that as a National Intelligence Estimate, we’d have fired them. It reaches the conclusions before it gives you the evidence. In fact, they didn’t even speak with the people who knew the facts,” said Meyer.
For Meyer, watching the criticism of the CIA in recent years, particularly by Democrats, raises an unanswered question.
“For years now, Senator Feinstein and the others have been saying what they don’t want the CIA to do, but they never say what they do want the CIA to do,” he said, painting a very personal scenario for Feinstein to consider.
“Let’s say that the CIA finds out that a nuclear bomb has been planted in one of our cities. Just for fun, let’s pick San Francisco, Senator Feinstein’s hometown. We find out that there’s a nuclear bomb planted. Our CIA agents over in Yemen capture one of the terrorists and say, ‘Where’s the bomb and when is it going to go off?’ He won’s say anything. So we ask him again and he says,’Allah be praised, Americans will die.’ At this point, what does Senator Feinstein want the CIA to do?” asked Meyer.
“I’d like her to answer that question, not to tell us what they don’t want the CIA to do. What do they want us to do? And if the answer is nothing, then San Francisco is a pile of radioactive rubble,” said Meyer.
Another major debate resuming in the wake of this report is over whether enhanced interrogation techniques successfully elicited actionable intelligence or not. The report concludes the tactics were not effective but CIA leaders past and present insist they did.
“I don’t have any evidence other than that, but the people who did it have not only said they were effective, they’ve given us the details of what they’ve learned. They’ve made much of that public. All of that is completely ignored in the report without any evidence to the contrary. That’s why it’s just intellectual junk food,” said Meyer.