Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America celebrate the liberation of Mosul from ISIS control and the tightening of the noose around ISIS in Syria as well. They also discuss reports that former FBI Director James Comey’s memos on conversations with President Trump contain classified information. And they lightheartedly critique Donald Trump Jr.’s account of a fruitless meeting between top Trump campaign officials and a Russian lawyer who claimed to have dirt on Hillary Clinton but really wanted to talk about adoption policy.
ISIS
“Caliphate” Crumbling, Government Healthcare Horror, Trump Twitter Wars
David French of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America applaud new developments in the Middle East as ISIS loses its grip on Mosul and its defeat appears increasingly likely. They condemn the appalling Charlie Gard decision in which a London court decided that a terminally ill child will be removed from life support — against the wishes of his parents — and reflect on the implications of single-payer healthcare. They criticize President Trump’s latest Twitter barrage against Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski, claiming Trump’s language debases the culture. Plus, a follow-up revelation in the McEnroe-Williams tennis controversy.
UK Terror Continues, SCOTUS To Draw the Lines, The Left is America’s ISIS?
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Rich McFadden of Radio America react to news of yet another terror attack in the UK which targeted British Muslims outside of a London mosque after their evening prayers for Ramadan. They also discuss the Supreme Court’s announcement that they will take up the partisan gerrymandering case in the state of Wisconsin to determine whether or not the act is unconstitutional. And they respond to Erick Erickson’s sensationalist comments as he refers to the left as “America’s ISIS” and advocates for state secession.
Russia’s ISIS Claim, Troublesome Trump Tweets, Kelly Controversy Continues
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Rich McFadden of Radio America discuss the legitimacy of Russia’s claims that they killed top ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in late May. They also express frustration over more heated tweets from President Donald Trump today in which he angrily states that he is being investigated for obstruction of justice. And they have a field day with the news that Alex Jones of Infowars released secret recordings from behind the scenes of his interview with Megyn Kelly, an interview which sparked major controversy and outrage across the nation.
Comey Won’t Allege Obstruction, Gripe Sessions, ISIS vs Iran
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America start the day reacting to reports that former FBI director James Comey will not accuse President Trump of trying to obstruct justice. They also sigh as tensions mount between President Trump and Attorney General Jeff Sessions after Sessions recused himself from the Russia investigation. And they are a bit surprised to see ISIS attacking Iran, but also see some benefit in two detestable entities focused on each other rather than targets in the West.
Gorsuch Seated, ISIS Attacks Christians, Hillary’s Blame Game
David French of National Review and Greg Corombos welcome Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch and reflect on the election year gamble that paid off for the GOP, while David points out Democrats would have done the same thing if the roles were reversed. They also recoil at the pair of terrorist church bombings in Egypt, apparently carried out by ISIS. And they get a kick out of Hillary Clinton having a long list of reasons she lost in 2016, but doesn’t blame herself at all.
U.S. Air Power Batters ISIS
Increased American air power is inflicting heavy damage on ISIS in Mosul and will do the same in the stronghold of Raqqa, but retired U.S. Air Force Lt. Gen Tom McInerney says the intensity needs to increase and we cannot be distracted over controversies about civilian casualties.
McInerney was a frequent critic of what he considered a much too soft air campaign against ISIS from the Obama administration. He is pleased to see Defense Secretary James Mattis and other military leaders embrace their overwhelming advantage from above.
“We’re seeing a significant increase in the number of sorties and we are seeing increased success. Mosul will fall, I think, in the next two weeks or so,” said McInerney, while noting that full control of Mosul will take time because of the large population and the house-to-house fighting that will be needed to prevail in full.
As the air campaign begins to reap results, the international community is raising questions about the rate of civilian casualties in Mosul. Some estimates concluded a recent bombing campaign resulted in 200 civilian deaths and many outlets told stories of children searching in vain for their parents.
McInerney says there are two things to keep in mind. First, he says people should not assume the U.S. is to blame, because ISIS may well have targeted civilians to build criticism of the U.S. campaign.
“The weapons they used – they probably used 100-pound bombs – were not the kind that could have taken a building down like that. So there is a great deal of concern that ISIS deliberately triggered it to kill civilians so we would terminate out bombing there,” said McInerney.
If verified, McInerney says such tactics would prove just how effective the ramped-up air bombardment really is.
“My intuition is that’s what they did because the air power has been so effective and they can’t do anything to counter it. So they’re trying to increase the casualties. Our humanity to man increases the inhumanity to mankind that ISIS is doing. You’re damned if you do and you’re damned if you don’t,” said McInerney.
Secretary Mattis defended U.S. actions vs. ISIS.
“There is no military force in the world that has proven more sensitive to civilian casualties,” said Mattis, according to Reuters. “We go out of our way to always do everything humanly possible to reduce the loss of life or injury among innocent people. The same cannot be said for our adversaries.”
McInerney says Mattis is exactly right.
“We work very hard at not having casualties, but you’re not going to go to zero. You’ve got to expect some. The quicker we do it and defeat ISIS militarily, the sooner this is going to be over. The caliphate will have been defeated,” said McInerney.
However, McInerney insists the U.S. needs to limit direct U.S. involvement to the air campaign and perhaps some helicopter support. He says local ground troops must be the ones to defeat ISIS in Mosul and beyond. He also says the Muslim leaders in the region are deafening in their reluctance to challenge the ideology espoused by ISIS.
“Where are the fatwas out of Mecca and Medina that decry this evil ideology?” said McInerney.
Beyond Mosul, the focal point of defeating ISIS will soon manifest itself in a siege against the self-proclaimed capital of Raqqa. McInerney says air power will be key to success there as well.
“It must go. I would have taken down a lot more buildings and important places (before launching a siege), but I’m not running it. I think we need to be very aggressive,” said McInerney.
And that means ratcheting up the intensity of the bombings ever further.
“Oh, it’s going to be intensified. It’s got to be intensified in Raqqa,” said McInerney.
Mattis Gets Real, Nuking the Filibuster, Trump Vows Health Bill ‘Easy’
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America applaud Defense Secretary Jim Mattis for doing his best to limit civilian casualties while explaining that are often unavoidable in wartime as the U.S. dramatically ramps up the military action against ISIS. They also discuss how Democrats are boxing themselves into a corner by trying to filibuster Neil Gorsuch – a move that could lead to rule changes that make the Democrats powerless to stop anything. And they react to Pres. Trump telling senators a deal on health care legislation will be “easy.”
Three Martini Lunch 3/10/17
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America offer three good martinis. CENTCOM declares no major mistakes were made in the Yemen raid. Rebels are preparing to lay siege to the ISIS stronghold of Raqqa. The February jobs report looks strong. And we have fun with the kids who stole the show in the BBC interview.
Refugee Policies and Recognizing Threats in Ohio State Aftermath
The apparent terrorist attack on pedestrians at Ohio State University Monday is triggering a wide range of political and cultural reaction, but a leading terrorism expert says the most important responses need to be much tougher screening for refugees and helping people spot radical threats before they strike.
On Monday morning, Somali refugee Abdul Azak Ali Artan allegedly drove a car into a crowd of people before getting out and trying to stab as many people as possible. Artan was quickly shot and killed by campus police officer Alan Horuljko.
In the aftermath, the Obama administration has been careful not to describe the attack as radical Islamic terrorism, despite ISIS claiming credit for the attack and officials suggesting Artan’s social media postings indicate he was inspired by ISIS. At least one of the victims says he is withholding judgment on Artan’s motives.
President-Elect Donald Trump was much less diplomatic, saying Artan never should have been in the country in the first place.
Terrorism expert Dr. Harvey Kushner says Artan should have raised red flags as he tried to enter the U.S.
“This individual should have raised some red flags, given when he came here. At the time when he came here and the time when ISIS was beginning to be in full bloom and was recruiting heavily on the internet. And the area of the world which he came from should have raised some questions of more extreme vetting,” said Kushner.
Kushner, who is also head of the Terrorism and Homeland Security Institute at Long Island University. He says Artan’s actions were a textbook ISIS attack, given the terrorists’ public push for stabbing attacks. He says we have to do a better job of screening who comes into this country.
“Our authorities need to be able to get data on individuals who want to come in here. There has to be a very deep interviewing process and there has to be some kind of follow-up while they’re here. I’m not saying to pause completely from all areas of the world but some areas are certainly more problematic,” said Kushner.
“People from certain regions of the world that we know are problematic, which we know bring political baggage with them could cause a problem in the future. This attack represents such an incident,” said Kushner.
He says trying to limit refugees from terror-prone nations is made far more difficult now that so many are dispersed throughout Europe and could attempt to come to the U.S. from nations that don’t raise red flags.
“What’s happened throughout Europe and the European Union and movement between countries there,” said Kushner. “We really need to step back and take a look at the process that we have currently in terms of gathering data about individuals and making sure these individuals don’t pose a serious threat.”
While students who claim to know Artan say they never suspected he was radicalized, Kushner says it is far more likely that this rage was building for some time rather then Artan suddenly snapping.
“I don’t think this necessarily happens overnight, that there’s some sort of epiphany that the person should go out and do this. I think this was building up. Most likely it was disguised in his behavior prior to this. I don’t think there was a straw that broke the camel’s back. There was a build-up here and I think we need to be more astute about recognizing these signs,” said Kushner.
Kushner admits spotting a threat is not easy.
“It’s not recognizable to the general public or the people close by, because they’re not trained as psychologists or psychiatrists or people involved in looking at looking at individuals from certain regions of the world,” said Kushner.
He says one of the possible triggers for radicalization is the intense clash of cultures for some people who come to the U.S.
“I’ll get in trouble for saying this, but I will say it. When you’re bringing people from certain regions of the world who have cultures and backgrounds that are somewhat different that what you have here in the states. This, unfortunately, lays the groundwork for something like this to spring up,” said Kushner.