Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America applaud Donald Trump’s selection of former Texas Gov. Rick Perry to be secretary of energy. They wince as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell taps the brakes on the Trump tax plan and offers no ideas on how to reduce spending fight future deficits or replace Obamacare. And they discuss the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and the FBI disputing the CIA’s conclusion that Russia meddled in the 2016 campaign explicitly to help Trump win.
Obamacare
Getting Specific on Repeal and Replace
An effective overhaul of the nation’s health care laws will require scrapping the most damaging parts of Obamacare, keeping some of the provisions, and giving much more freedom to states and insurance companies to create vibrant competition that will increase consumer choice and bring down soaring costs.
That’s the assessment of Galen Institute President Grace-Marie Turner, a prominent voice against both Obamacare and the Clinton administration’s attempted overhaul of health care in the 1990s.
The Affordable Care Act, President Obama’s signature domestic legislation, survived a Supreme Court challenge in 2012. While the court states that mandating Americans buy health insurance is unconstitutional, the provisions were allowed to stand since people were given the choice to buy insurance or pay a fine.
Turner says the individual and employer mandates need to be the first things on the cutting room floor.
“They do have to go. The individual mandate, in particular, is the single-most unpopular part of this law,” said Turner, who says there are ways for the Trump administration to kill the mandates without a vote in Congress.
“There are ways through the regulatory process, not even through legislation, that Mr. Trump could basically eviscerate the individual mandate. But I also expect that to be very much on the chopping block when they do their repeal bill,” said Turner.
She says the employer mandate deserves the same fate.
“The employer mandate is the same. Even many of the president’s advisers have said that the employer mandate is really relatively useless, except for forcing people to buy – this is me saying this – that is extraordinarily expensive and is driving up everybody’s premiums and deductibles,” said Turner.
But while there has been much talk of full repeal, Trump recently said he would be open to keeping a limited number of provisions that have proven to be popular. Turner says keeping policies to forbid insurance companies from denying coverage due to pre-existing conditions or allowing adult children to stay on their parents’ policies should be retained.
“The president-elect should have have come out early on, saying, ‘Of course there are some goals in Obamacare that we share. We want to make sure that as many people as possible have coverage. We want to make sure that people are protected so that their insurance is real insurance. The fact that they’re in Obamacare does not mean that they’re bad,'” said Turner.
“They just have to go about a way of achieving those goals in a much different, more consumer-friendly, more market-friendly way,” said Turner.
She also expects Congress to provide a transition period from the current law to those new, market-oriented solutions.
Turner also says federal subsidies should still be available to those buying coverage on the individual exchanges, suggesting many people will still need a hand up even if efforts are successful to drive costs down through competition and choice.
She says subsidies are actually very fair.
“People with employer-based health insurance get huge subsidies worth $250-300 billion a year and forgiving that part of their income from taxes that goes to pay their health insurance premiums. So people who don’t have that option are being shut out. They’re paying their premiums with after-tax dollars. So yes, subsidies are going to have to be part of the equation,” said Turner.
Where Turner really hopes to see big change is the stripping away of the federal tentacles that currently dictate most details of the health care system. She says that will bring down costs and bring more people into the system.
“It would, as long as they don’t have so many rules that are forcing young people to pay so much more than their likely use of health insurance, which is one of the problems with Obamacare, and so long as you don’t have rules that allow people to simply purchase health insurance when they’re sick and drop it after they get treatment,” said Turner.
Turner says another vital step is to rip away the mandates of what has to be included in a given health care plan and allow the marketplace to decide what’s best.
“I can’t even think of the options that are out there that insurance companies might come up with – and smart actuaries – to give people the opportunity to make the decision for themselves what kind of coverage they need. Maybe it’s a health savings account. Maybe it’s a high-deductible plan, maybe it’s an HMO that has more restrictions on it,” said Turner.
“If people can make those decisions for themselves, then the market will be able to respond to them, rather than all these Washington bureaucrats and regulators,” she added.
Decenralizing power from Washington would also put more control in the hands of the states.
“The problem now is we’re all forced into this same strait-jacket of Obamacare. We all have to buy these hugely expensive products, which fewer and fewer people can afford. Give the market really an opportunity to provide products that people want to purchase within parameters and some guidelines that make sure it’s real insurance and that people are protected,” said Turner.
Turner says Obamacare is driving people away from a product they want because of the crushing mandates and high costs.
“People want health insurance. It’s not that you’re forcing them to buy something they don’t want. They want health insurance, but they don’t want to pay more for their health insurance than they’re paying for their mortgage, which is happening to many people right now,” said Turner.
Turner says new companies would spring to life when they see an explosion in demand from patients interested cheaper plans that better meet the needs of their families.
She says House Speaker Paul Ryan already has the relevant committee chairmen working on plans to overhaul Obamacare. However, she says it’s very unlikely that Republicans will try to achieve reform through one massive bill. Instead, Turner believes lawmakers will pursue a piecemeal approach targeting specific aspects of the current law that need to be changed.
Three Martini Lunch 10/27/16
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America cheer Defense Secretary Ash Carter for stopping the government’s efforts to get re-enlistment bonus money back from soldiers fought in Iraq and Afghanistan. They also sigh as the latest WikiLeaks revelations show the Clinton Foundation also worked to line Bill’s pockets with huge speaking fees. And they unload on Obamacare architect Jonathan Gruber for suggesting the only thing needed to improve Obamacare is to jack up the penalties on people who don’t buy insurance.
Three Martini Lunch 10/21/16
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America are pleased to see Pat Toomey and Marco Rubio in stronger positions in their key Senate races. They also shred Pres. Obama’s patently dishonest speech calling Obamacare a great success, proposing more government involvement, and demonizing Republicans. And they groan as Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump can’t even do humor well at the Al Smith dinner.
Three Martini Lunch 10/19/16
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America are pleased to see millennials far less excited about Hillary Clinton than they were about Barack Obama. They also shudder as many states reveal the massive Obamacare premium hikes in store for the coming year. They react to a DNC bus pouring human waste into a Georgia storm sewer. And they mark six years of the Three Martini Lunch with a look back at two of this year’s funniest moments.
Three Martini Lunch 10/7/16
Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America point out Republicans should be making the Obamacare disaster into a huge political issue but so far they aren’t. They also discuss President Obama’s lofty approval numbers and note how they started to go up as Americans realized who the 2016 nominees were likely to be. And they slam Shep Smith of Fox News for telling Floridians to get away from Hurricane Matthew or they would all die, along with their children and everyone they know.
‘They Know It’s in Trouble’
Health care expert Grace-Marie Turner says Bill Clinton’s public criticism of Obamacare and obvious infighting within Obama’s own administration proves the U.S. health care system is in big trouble on its current course.
The former president made headlines Monday, when he discussed the big problems created by President Obama’s signature domestic legislation.
“The people that are getting killed on this deal are small business people and individuals who make just a little too much to get any of these subsidies. Why? Because they’re not organized. They don’t have any bargaining power with insurance companies. They’re getting whacked,” said Clinton.
“So you’ve got this crazy system where suddenly 25 million more people have health care and the people busting it sometimes 60 hours a week wind up with their premiums doubled and their coverage cut in half. It’s the craziest thing in the world,” said Clinton.
Turner, who actively fought Clinton’s health care reform in the 1990s and the push for Obamacare says, Clinton is on the right track – but only to a point.
“He’s got the diagnosis right. People are very unhappy with this law. The longer it’s in place, the more unhappy they are. He’s clearly hearing from small businesses. He’s hearing from families who cannot afford their premiums,” said Turner.
However, Turner suspects Clinton’s solution to the problem will only create more problems.
“What he’s doing I fear is teeing up, if Hillary is elected president, even more government control over the health sector. The American people know the problem is too much government control over health care,” said Turner.
She also says his characterization of what those millions of new people with health care coverage are receiving is badly misleading.
“He’s saying people have health care. No, they have health insurance. Ask people how hard it is to find a doctor to see them. People on Medicaid still have to go to hospital emergency rooms, particularly if they need specialty care,” said Turner.
Turner says the reasons for Obamacare’s failures are obvious.
“The health insurance companies are absolutely in straitjackets. The American people are being told the kind of health insurance they must buy, soup to nuts and absolutely everything anybody could think of, instead of actually having a policy that may work for them and their families that they may be able to afford. That’s not a choice they have right now,” said said Turner.
She fears a Hillary Clinton presidency would look to add a public option or some other way to increase government control of the health care system. Bill Clinton hinted similarly by suggesting those not qualifying for subsidies should be able to buy in to Medicare or Medicaid at a cost that’s comfortable for them, even if they don’t qualify for them.
Turner says that’s a recipe for disaster. She says the average senior citizen couple pays about $160,000 into the Medicare system but ends up needing more than $400,000 in care. She says the math of stuffing more people into that system should be clear to everyone.
“The system is not sustainable. It will go broke. It will go broke even faster if you put more people on it,” said Turner.
The Obama administration is also reportedly split on what do about insurance companies dropping out of the exchanges and demanding reimbursement in the billions of dollars. Some in the administration are apparently trying to work around existing law that forbids insurance company bailouts to keep the system alive.
At the same, the Justice Department is also fighting back against court challenges from insurance companies to pay them overdue subsidies.
Turner says this contradiction shows a fierce debate playing out within the administration.
“You have a big disagreement between the political people who want to do everything they can to rescue Obamacare and the civil servants who understand that these payments are illegal. Congress has passed very specific legislation forbidding any more corporate welfare,” said Turner.
Turner says this public infighting, plus the Clinton comments prove this administration understands the perilous state of our health care system.
“They know it’s in trouble. We have been talking since the beginning, since before this law passed, about the problems with this law. It was totally predictable that this was going to happen. Finally the supporters are saying it has problems. I think it is a whole other level when former President Bill Clinton basically says the law is a mess and a crazy scheme,” said Turner.
She says it will be difficult to fix the law because the Democrats are only interested in spending more money in a bad direction and Republicans want nothing to do with that. Turner says real negotiation will have to take place since Republicans will have to be part of the discussions, unlike 2010 when the law passed with support only from Democrats.
But Turner isn’t interested in tinkering with what she sees as a failure. She wants to return to healthy competition in the health care sector.
“Give consumers choices. They’re happy with the product. They’re engaged in helping to make sure that they spend their health care dollars wisely. And they see the savings when they make smart decisions,” said Turner.
“That’s what we need more of, not more government spending and government control, thinking that somehow we’re going to be able to spend enoughto that everybody can have all the health care they want all the time without any strings attached. That’s not possible,” said Turner.